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It is he author of the article who speculates the possibility of Poland's involvement, not I. I just see his speculation as plausible based upon what I know of the history between Poland and Russia. Perhaps we could have your question sent to the author to discover whether more is known, which could possibly make his/her speculation non-hypothetical , but an actual fact.

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Maybe

It's funny GC liked your response l, but didn't answer the question.

It's important to differentiate between what's possible (or plausible), and what's supported by (any) evidence.

GC - is there any evidence for the involvement of any specific country in this action?

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